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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (59–65, n=124) | 55% (200–166, n=366) | no settled market | 66% (475–241, n=716) |
| Consensus PnL | -$301K | $227K | — | -$143K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 67% (26 of 39 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle opposite sides · consensus Henry Searle | Robin Bertrand $510 | — | — | Henry Searle $1.5K |
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt opposite sides · consensus Alex Bolt | Alafia Ayeni $6 | — | — | Alex Bolt $40 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | Vikings $1.8K | — | — |