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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Hawk.live | juice-fruit | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 40% (4–6, n=10) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 69% (307–141, n=448) |
| Consensus PnL | -$381K | $1.5K | $152K | -$40K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #617 | PM monthly #28 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Esports ±0 pts, n=472 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 55% of 477 at avg 55¢, ROI −4% | 100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 23% (won 4% of 109) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 16% (won 27% of 74) | 25% (won 100% of 12) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 27% (won 69% of 128) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 35% (won 92% of 166) | 29% (won 100% of 14) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Hawk.live | juice-fruit | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu opposite sides · consensus Cezar Cretu | Pavlos Tsitsipas $1 | — | — | Cezar Cretu $7.0K |