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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 41% (3263–4725, n=7988) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$460K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #256 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (18 of 25 open) | 71% (542 of 759 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 35% of 170) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 5% (won 54% of 178) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith |
|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $372 | No $822 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | Yes $429 |