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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Gdub | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3322, n=7861) | 72% (621–238, n=859) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 48% (14232–15729, n=29961) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $13K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #999 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 73% (16 of 22 open) | 68% (52 of 77 open) | 45% (10 of 22 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Politics ±0 pts, n=150 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 75% of 830 at avg 72¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 15% (won 11% of 123) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 7% (won 41% of 61) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 9% (won 68% of 73) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 69% (won 93% of 573) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Gdub | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | Yes $7.3K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22 | No $1.9K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | Yes $488 | — | — |