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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghightntlym
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (741–246, n=987)45% (196–244, n=440)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K$6.7K—
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #46PM monthly #828
Sides with the consensus17% (1 of 6 open)67% (82 of 123 open)82% (9 of 11 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)—
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)—
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)—
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghightntlym
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $78KTiago Pereira $2.6K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958Casper Ruud $5.2K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367Lakers $3.3K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $548Lakers $662—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93Vikings $6——