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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677RdogTest
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)45% (10–12, n=22)81% (51–12, n=63)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$5.3M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #71PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #870
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)74% (144 of 195 open)no open consensus position93% (38 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 40 at avg 74¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)63% (won 100% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677RdogTest
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $135——No $4.8K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K——Yes $16K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13KQuentin Halys $861——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8KYes $2.6K——