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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02
Record (consensus markets)57% (4487–3372, n=7859)63% (100–59, n=159)
Consensus PnL$8.9M-$11K
Tracked asPM monthly #123PM monthly #939
Sides with the consensus62% (8 of 13 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)9% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)32% (won 92% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)59% (won 96% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Ethanael02
Heat vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Clippers $15KHeat $10K
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $3.5KRockets $6.1K