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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ElonSpamkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (40–41, n=81)86% (12–2, n=14)42% (124–173, n=297)68% (330–158, n=488)
Consensus PnL-$397K$6.7K$124K-$104K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #724PM monthly #39PM monthly #38 + pinned
Sides with the consensus45% (5 of 11 open)0% (0 of 1 open)71% (32 of 45 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%—100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)—6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)—42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)—40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)—12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ElonSpamkeeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Heat $52K—Jazz $17K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $18K—Under $742—
Sopo: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Valentina Mediorreal
opposite sides · consensus Maria Lourdes Carle
Valentina Mediorreal $37——Maria Lourdes Carle $7.0K
Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov
opposite sides · consensus Stefan Kozlov
——Stefan Kozlov $4.7KAlexis Galarneau $2.1K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Coco Gauff $16K—Coco Gauff $5.9K—
Sopo: Laura Samson vs Carolina M. Alves
same side · consensus Carolina M. Alves
——Carolina M. Alves $6.0KCarolina M. Alves $5.3K
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kent State
Kent State $192—Kent State $1.2K—