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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BrokieFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)no settled market52% (6455–6056, n=12511)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #768PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)no open consensus position72% (129 of 179 open)45% (13 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Economy −11 pts, n=15Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%61% of 565 at avg 54¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)33% (won 12% of 185)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)11% (won 55% of 64)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)14% (won 76% of 78)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)42% (won 95% of 238)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BrokieFlaznorpRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4K—Alexandra Eala $28KAlexandra Eala $48K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $27—Ben Shelton $8.5KBen Shelton $25K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $724—Mai Hontama $7.3KMai Hontama $17K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $238—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $354Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $680
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $312No $12
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $150Yes $2
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.2K—Yes $40—
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
——Jerome Kym $598Jerome Kym $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Noma Noha Akugue $640Noma Noha Akugue $71
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42