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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) | 34% (130–252, n=382) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.6M | -$297K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #46 | was PM monthly #793 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 82% (23 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Esports −1 pts, n=392 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 35% of 397 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 31% (won 21% of 122) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 56% (won 41% of 221) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 13% (won 42% of 53) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $45K | — | — |