← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UnreasonableAwareness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $4.6M | -$74K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #110 | was PM monthly #182 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (12 of 26 open) | 89% (33 of 37 open) | 71% (67 of 94 open) | 0% (0 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UnreasonableAwareness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $15K | — | Yes $623 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $425K | No $350K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.7K | — | — | Yes $206 |