← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Rene22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3326, n=7862) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 56% (5–4, n=9) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.3M | $4.8M | $5.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | was PM monthly #672 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (15 of 26 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 33% (2 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5 at avg 48¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 40% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Rene22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | — | No $237 |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $34K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | No $337K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $48K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $2.3K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $31 | — | — | Yes $450 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $47 | — | — | Yes $333 |