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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Pondermint | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 67% (423–206, n=629) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $3.2M | $173K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #382 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 69% (20 of 29 open) | 72% (95 of 132 open) | 50% (5 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | MLB −2 pts, n=87 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 13% (won 11% of 63) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 11% (won 35% of 52) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 12% (won 63% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 65% (won 90% of 314) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Pondermint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | Yes $993K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $76K | — | Yes $2.4K |