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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 74% (191–66, n=257) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $5.3M | -$6.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #956 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (26 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 21% (won 4% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 4% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 70% (won 96% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $63K | — | Yes $11K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $48K | — | — |