← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pIebe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (36–36, n=72) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $779K | — | $447 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #178 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (14 of 20 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 1 at avg 69¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | pIebe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $104 | — | No $1.5K |