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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | machbut | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 61% (23–15, n=38) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | $7.9M | $5.3M | $32K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #847 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (17 of 26 open) | 77% (27 of 35 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 74% of 34 at avg 72¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 9% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 15% (won 40% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 18% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 59% (won 95% of 20) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | machbut |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $55K | — | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens same side · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $36K | Ravens $292K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $29K | Ravens $194K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $15K | Ravens $293 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |