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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | dcastro222 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | no settled market | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | — | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (26 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 1 at avg 43¢, ROI +57% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 0% | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | dcastro222 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Grizzlies $218K | — | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | 76ers $90K | Pistons $90K | — | — |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | — | — | Eastern Michigan $417 |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | Celtics $880 | — | — |