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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankSineNooneEIVladooos
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–72, n=143)56% (20–16, n=36)43% (3–4, n=7)63% (20–12, n=32)
Consensus PnL-$252K$822K$124K-$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #1PM monthly #97was PM monthly #912
Sides with the consensus44% (15 of 34 open)53% (9 of 17 open)83% (5 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Esports −7 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%65% of 26 at avg 67¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%0%0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)57% (won 100% of 13)50% (won 100% of 2)8% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)39% (won 100% of 9)50% (won 100% of 2)46% (won 50% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)4% (won 100% of 1)0%46% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankSineNooneEIVladooos
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $150Lakers $2.0KBucks $48K—
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $227KCiryl Gane $325K——
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Celtics $81KRaptors $48K——
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $87K—Jazz $28K—
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $244Pacers $14K——
Wizards vs. Pacers
same side · consensus Pacers
Pacers $7.4KPacers $2.4K——