← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UnreasonableAwareness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4513–3386, n=7899) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 47% (13828–15322, n=29150) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $14.8M | -$40K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #83 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #182 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (10 of 13 open) | 54% (15 of 28 open) | 63% (42 of 67 open) | 11% (1 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | UnreasonableAwareness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $210 | Yes $80K | — | — |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $15K | — | Yes $625 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.8K | — | Lakers $3 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $12K | — | Quentin Halys $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $441 | — | Spurs $265 | — |