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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Lula202626 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4537–3326, n=7863) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 67% (2–1, n=3) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $7.3M | -$71K | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #639 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (54 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 2 at avg 55¢, ROI +54% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Lula202626 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $409K | — | No $337K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $2.3K | — | — |