← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Kishen020 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3300, n=7820) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 72% (136–54, n=190) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $31K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #582 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (14 of 28 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 72% of 186 at avg 66¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 67% of 12) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 56% (won 63% of 104) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 37% (won 87% of 69) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Kishen020 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $97K | — | — |