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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4944–4167, n=9111) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 44% (159–201, n=360) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $37K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #418 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 86% (62 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Elections −1 pts, n=78 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 28% of 378 at avg 27¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 70% (won 4% of 263) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 4% (won 53% of 15) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 6% (won 70% of 23) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 20% (won 92% of 77) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | J-E-R | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.6K | No $2.4K | No $22 | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $26K | — | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $180K | — | No $24 | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $74K | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $22 | No $35K | — | — |