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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 64% (104–59, n=163) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | -$14K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (18 of 26 open) | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 54% (30 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 32% (won 92% of 25) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 59% (won 96% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Ethanael02 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $268K | — | Bilibili Gaming $19K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $115K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $2.4K | — | — | Alice Tubello $17K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |