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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (5575–5162, n=10737)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$505K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #106PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus63% (15 of 24 open)88% (22 of 25 open)73% (74 of 102 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—MLB −1 pts, n=747—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10537 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 18% of 1390)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)35% (won 98% of 204)36% (won 46% of 3759)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 61% of 3645)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1743)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $37K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KNo $4.8K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $16KYes $4.4K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $4.8K—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $11K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $14K—
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K—No $42K—
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
same side · consensus No
No $94K—No $32K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $53K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $25KYes $3.3K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KYes $973—
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K—No $4.7K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4.7KYes $7.4K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K—Yes $2.4K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.0KYes $149—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27Yes $463—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $164Yes $56—