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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 71122 | fantasy7788 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (36–38, n=74) | no settled market | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 69% (307–141, n=448) |
| Consensus PnL | -$388K | -$337 | $245K | -$44K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #443 | PM monthly #72 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 71% of 7 at avg 58¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 14% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 29% (won 0% of 2) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 57% (won 100% of 4) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 71122 | fantasy7788 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Oskari Paldanius vs Raul Brancaccio opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius | Raul Brancaccio $2.3K | — | — | Oskari Paldanius $57K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Arthur Rinderknech $360 | — | — | Arthur Rinderknech $20K |