Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465319113331313111fantasy7788Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)94% (16–1, n=17)43% (3–4, n=7)75% (744–249, n=993)
Consensus PnL-$420K$9.2K$421K$74K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #800PM monthly #49PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (94 of 133 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%92% of 12 at avg 80¢, ROI −24%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)8% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 9% of 66)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)0%20% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 45% of 56)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)8% (won 100% of 1)60% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 68% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)83% (won 100% of 10)0%29% (won 97% of 61)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465319113331313111fantasy7788Flaznorp
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9K——Dartmouth Big Green $415
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90——Vikings $6