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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2A97E8680FbED0fFCB4661cAc73B066dd3e12FFB-1771833636314BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (21–16, n=37)56% (20–16, n=36)no settled market66% (499–256, n=755)
Consensus PnL-$1.6K$822K—-$130K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #996PM monthly #1PM monthly #6PM monthly #48 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position44% (8 of 18 open)no open consensus position60% (130 of 215 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 20 at avg 62¢, ROI +39%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%—100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)0%—6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 4)57% (won 100% of 13)—13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 86% of 7)39% (won 100% of 9)—30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 8)4% (won 100% of 1)—51% (won 100% of 106)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2A97E8680FbED0fFCB4661cAc73B066dd3e12FFB-1771833636314BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Pacers $23K—Wizards $1.4K
Nets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Nets $260K—Nets $20K
Wizards vs. Pacers
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $3.7K—Pacers $23K