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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (1–1, n=2)44% (188–239, n=427)no settled market66% (475–241, n=716)
Consensus PnL$4.7K$43K$2-$143K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #362PM monthly #43PM monthly #154PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (6 of 10 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI −34%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢0%42% (won 100% of 63)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢0%40% (won 100% of 61)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc2900db79077f14d294dd24552020dfbe73391-1793687708604keeptheblueflagflyinghighndb1RN1
W35 Heraklion: Victoria Allen vs Eliska Tichackova
same side · consensus Victoria Allen
—Victoria Allen $221—Victoria Allen $546
Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle
same side · consensus Henry Searle
—Robin Bertrand $419—Robin Bertrand $29