PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0dae0fd966005cd3eb2e8e9b901f24fca34a72feBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaCORGII
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (503–616, n=1119)50% (13500–13645, n=27145)62% (382–231, n=613)
Consensus PnL—$11.1M$3.5M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #1PM monthly #15PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (31 of 48 open)57% (17 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 58% of 840)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2168)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 99% of 176)38% (won 94% of 3916)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3284)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x0dae0fd966005cd3eb2e8e9b901f24fca34a72feBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaCORGII
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Warriors $102KTimberwolves $1.1K—
Thunder vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Mavericks $24KThunder $1.2K—