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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0805260x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (52–60, n=112)75% (697–230, n=927)63% (19–11, n=30)
Consensus PnL$15-$527K$59K$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #739PM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus82% (18 of 22 open)57% (4 of 7 open)65% (56 of 86 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 72¢, ROI +28%63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢0%15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢0%29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0805260x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpprimm
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Thunder $4.1KTrail Blazers $12K—
M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han
same side · consensus Xirui Han
—Xirui Han $92KXirui Han $72—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $307Trail Blazers $2.8K—