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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00ndb1peasantRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (1014–591, n=1605)57% (162–122, n=284)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M$129K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #98PM monthly #533PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (63 of 87 open)57% (4 of 7 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147Politics −5 pts, n=51—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%58% of 273 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)21% (won 11% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 38% of 45)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 62% of 63)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)40% (won 89% of 108)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00ndb1peasantRN1
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34K—Under $2.6K