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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankHashbrownRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (549–663, n=1212)90% (589–64, n=653)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$148K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #285PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)100% (3 of 3 open)43% (12 of 28 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——Elections −14 pts, n=26—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%93% of 655 at avg 93¢, ROI +2%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)2% (won 0% of 10)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)0%22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)2% (won 56% of 16)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)96% (won 96% of 629)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankHashbrownRN1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.9KYes $9—