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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
00gringo00AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (430–418, n=848)45% (573–710, n=1283)
Consensus PnL—$93K$7.9M
Tracked as—PM monthly #640PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (12 of 19 open)81% (25 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—MLB −18 pts, n=23—
Settled positions, side won—48% of 832 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 16% of 140)11% (won 80% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 38% of 335)35% (won 98% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 59% of 201)35% (won 100% of 201)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 87% of 156)20% (won 100% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.4KNo $72K