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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
00gringo00AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (436–420, n=856)41% (587–850, n=1437)
Consensus PnL—$94K$7.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #608PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)88% (29 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—MLB −18 pts, n=23—
Settled positions, side won—49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 16% of 141)10% (won 82% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 39% of 339)36% (won 98% of 212)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 59% of 203)35% (won 100% of 205)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 87% of 157)20% (won 100% of 116)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.5KNo $39K