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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankNewshound
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (547–663, n=1210)71% (692–276, n=968)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.5M$11.0M$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1PM monthly #793
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position64% (72 of 113 open)39% (7 of 18 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%72% of 968 at avg 59¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 81% of 57)23% (won 23% of 218)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 201)13% (won 65% of 124)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 76% of 169)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 109)47% (won 95% of 457)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankNewshound
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $607Yes $725
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $33KYes $2.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $35KYes $106
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $4.2KYes $720