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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Hashbrownndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4521–3297, n=7818)91% (667–70, n=737)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M$176K$3.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #67PM monthly #314PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (11 of 17 open)100% (4 of 4 open)74% (81 of 110 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134Elections −10 pts, n=32NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%93% of 659 at avg 93¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1183)2% (won 0% of 10)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1724)0%20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2055)3% (won 59% of 17)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2092)96% (won 95% of 632)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Hashbrownndb1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $52KYes $10—