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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xc5B50RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market58% (4536–3323, n=7859)100% (1–0, n=1)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL—$7.8M$952$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #19PM monthly #515PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position50% (13 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won—59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 1 at avg 98¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 11% of 1182)0%10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 45% of 1746)0%22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 66% of 2085)0%35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 91% of 2120)100% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo000x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xc5B50RN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Antonia Ruzic $2.9K—Alexandra Eala $54K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $911—Mai Hontama $19K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Rinky Hijikata $364—Rinky Hijikata $11K