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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)99% (2731–38, n=2769)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$146K$8.0M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656PM monthly #14PM monthly #3PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (17 of 27 open)no open consensus position70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=136——
Settled positions, side won99% of 2568 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)24% (won 45% of 1743)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 56% of 39)29% (won 66% of 2080)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2518)30% (won 91% of 2114)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5.8K—No $15K