Consensus PnL -$5.7K · win rate 65% (147–78, n=225) · was PM monthly #984 · holds 5 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$-5.7K
Record
147W / 78L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 225 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#623
Source
PM monthly #984
Record (90 d)
122/125 · 98%
Trades
6
Markets
267
Volume
$256.9K
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Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 5 on the consensus side (60%)- Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)Gen.G $2.0K · now 37¢ · in at 38¢with the consensus (78% of 9)
- Utsunomiya Brex vs. Ryukyu Golden KingsUtsunomiya Brex $220 · now 100¢ · in at 64¢against the consensus (Ryukyu Golden Kings)
- Sonic Boom vs. Daegu PegasusSonic Boom $61 · now 100¢ · in at 42¢with the consensus (44% of 9)
- Spread: Saints (-2.5)Browns $21 · now 44¢ · in at 45¢with the consensus (56% of 10)
- Trabzonspor vs. Petkim SporPetkim Spor $13 · now 32¢ · in at 38¢against the consensus (Trabzonspor)
Specialties
75 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+51 pts
side won 100% of 49 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +48%
- College Football
+50 pts
side won 100% of 11 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +48%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 55%(won 100% of 41)
- 50–70¢: 44%(won 100% of 33)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.