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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 14%

Total Value

$648.87

Combined PnL

$19.65

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 14 top traders (14%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down12 traders

Total Value$648.87

Total Shares649

Combined PnL+$188.45

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares327

Combined PnL-$168.8

Down — 86%Up — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 47.9¢	$140.62	$263.19	+$122.57	51% 10526-9985 (20511)
pspspsps5CTR	Upavg 49.2¢	$139.61	—	-$139.61	46% 40118-48047 (88165)
MayorMamdani	Downavg 74.7¢	$96.58	$117	+$20.42	55% 51661-42834 (94495)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 85.6¢	$72.23	$66.34	-$5.89	51% 12098-11574 (23672)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 91.2¢	$47.46	$40.44	-$7.02	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Downavg 79.3¢	$56.51	$68.05	+$11.54	47% 6557-7261 (13818)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 57.5¢	$29.2	—	-$29.2	49% 80989-84429 (165418)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 96.3¢	$19.45	$20.21	+$0.75	61% 98614-62609 (161223)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 34.2¢	$6.84	$20	+$13.16	56% 60559-47106 (107665)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 37.1¢	$7.42	$20	+$12.58	58% 63311-46525 (109836)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 31.9¢	$4.34	$13.63	+$9.29	56% 77408-59804 (137212)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 35.4¢	$4.53	$12.82	+$8.29	65% 114590-61630 (176220)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 72.4¢	$3.67	$5.07	+$1.4	65% 130293-70158 (200451)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 36¢	$0.77	$2.13	+$1.36	63% 42447-25170 (67617)

Invested

$140.62

Value

$263.19

PnL

+$122.57

Record

51%

10526-9985 (20511)

Invested

$139.61

Value

—

PnL

-$139.61

Record

46%

40118-48047 (88165)

Invested

$96.58

Value

$117

PnL

+$20.42

Record

55%

51661-42834 (94495)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$72.23

Value

$66.34

PnL

-$5.89

Record

51%

12098-11574 (23672)

Invested

$47.46

Value

$40.44

PnL

-$7.02

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

Invested

$56.51

Value

$68.05

PnL

+$11.54

Record

47%

6557-7261 (13818)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$29.2

Value

—

PnL

-$29.2

Record

49%

80989-84429 (165418)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$19.45

Value

$20.21

PnL

+$0.75

Record

61%

98614-62609 (161223)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$6.84

Value

$20

PnL

+$13.16

Record

56%

60559-47106 (107665)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$7.42

Value

$20

PnL

+$12.58

Record

58%

63311-46525 (109836)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$4.34

Value

$13.63

PnL

+$9.29

Record

56%

77408-59804 (137212)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$4.53

Value

$12.82

PnL

+$8.29

Record

65%

114590-61630 (176220)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.67

Value

$5.07

PnL

+$1.4

Record

65%

130293-70158 (200451)

Invested

$0.77

Value

$2.13

PnL

+$1.36

Record

63%

42447-25170 (67617)

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 14 top traders (14%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x95f9ce74...c2a07e

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1794013800

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $263.19

pspspsps5

Up — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $117

blue.birds

Down — $66.34

asdaefef

Down — $40.44

asdcaxz

Down — $68.05

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $20.21

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $20

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $20

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