Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 73%
1 arb excluded
$933.31
$55.21
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $204.93 | $207 | +$2.07 | 89% 29358-3557 (32915) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 77.4¢ | $261.01 | $337.44 | +$76.43 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $154.28 | $169.8 | +$15.52 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 75.4¢ | $128.11 | $169.8 | +$41.69 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 25.6¢ | $26.17 | — | -$26.17 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 86.2¢ | $92.3 | $80.95 | -$11.35 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 79.2¢ | $30.68 | $29.64 | -$1.04 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 77.3¢ | $34.66 | $44.85 | +$10.19 | 56% 60559-47106 (107665) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $17.06 | $16.33 | -$0.71 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 93.8¢ | $13.11 | $12.06 | -$1.05 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $14.53 | $9 | -$5.53 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
HC Hcrystallash<$100 | Downavg 49.1¢ | $8.95 | $18.24 | +$9.29 | 30% 12179-28146 (40325) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.3¢ | $4.61 | — | -$4.61 | 63% 42447-25170 (67617) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.3¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 58% 63311-46525 (109836) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 91.6¢ | $7.07 | $6 | -$1.07 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.5¢ | $7.08 | — | -$7.08 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $1.62 | $2 | +$0.38 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.5¢ | $6.05 | — | -$6.05 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
Invested
$204.93
Value
$207
PnL
+$2.07
Record
89%
29358-3557 (32915)
Invested
$261.01
Value
$337.44
PnL
+$76.43
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
Invested
$154.28
Value
$169.8
PnL
+$15.52
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
Both legs:
Invested
$92.3
Value
$80.95
PnL
-$11.35
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$30.68
Value
$29.64
PnL
-$1.04
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
Invested
$34.66
Value
$44.85
PnL
+$10.19
Record
56%
60559-47106 (107665)
Invested
$17.06
Value
$16.33
PnL
-$0.71
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$13.11
Value
$12.06
PnL
-$1.05
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$14.53
Value
$9
PnL
-$5.53
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
Invested
$8.95
Value
$18.24
PnL
+$9.29
Record
30%
12179-28146 (40325)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.61
Value
—
PnL
-$4.61
Record
63%
42447-25170 (67617)
Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
58%
63311-46525 (109836)
Invested
$7.07
Value
$6
PnL
-$1.07
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.08
Value
—
PnL
-$7.08
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.62
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.38
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.05
Value
—
PnL
-$6.05
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $207
uninformedfloww
Down — $337.44
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $80.95
blue.birds
Down — $29.64
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $44.85
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $16.33
asdaefef
Down — $12.06
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $9
Hcrystallash
Down — $18.24