Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 78%
$257.37
$14.88
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 91.1¢ | $69.41 | $76.15 | +$6.75 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 50.7¢ | $59.13 | $88 | +$28.87 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 78.1¢ | $71.78 | $47.03 | -$24.75 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 88.6¢ | $15.97 | $18.02 | +$2.05 | 49% 80989-84429 (165418) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94.6¢ | $12.46 | $13.16 | +$0.7 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $9.35 | $10 | +$0.65 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $3.82 | $5 | +$1.18 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
Invested
$69.41
Value
$76.15
PnL
+$6.75
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
Invested
$59.13
Value
$88
PnL
+$28.87
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$71.78
Value
$47.03
PnL
-$24.75
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$15.97
Value
$18.02
PnL
+$2.05
Record
49%
80989-84429 (165418)
Invested
$12.46
Value
$13.16
PnL
+$0.7
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
Invested
$9.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.65
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$3.82
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.18
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)