Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Resolved Up. 87% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 86%

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

$343.46

Smart Money Signal

20 of 23 top traders (87%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up20 traders

Total Value$2.9K

Total Shares2,911

Combined PnL+$403.98

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares225

Combined PnL-$60.52

Up — 87%Down — 13%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
machinelearned	Upavg 82.2¢	$519.02	$600.95	+$81.93	55% 9893-8203 (18096)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 77.7¢	$346.58	$356.63	+$10.04	66% 101078-52946 (154024)
BO bosona	Upavg 79.4¢	$270.41	$340.71	+$70.3	55% 51720-42173 (93893)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 70.1¢	$207.88	$250.63	+$42.75	59% 11348-7797 (19145)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Upavg 81.5¢	$210.47	$258.23	+$47.75	58% 39839-28824 (68663)
GA gansinimen	Upavg 79¢	$157.99	$199.99	+$42	51% 17667-17069 (34736)
MO mo-money	Upavg 79.3¢	$105.22	$132.75	+$27.53	55% 52367-42838 (95205)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 94.9¢	$126.03	$120	-$6.03	51% 12215-11708 (23923)
13 13897651	Upavg 71.1¢	$145.63	$204.78	+$59.15	56% 8889-6954 (15843)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 86¢	$84.8	$80	-$4.8	12% 18943-134194 (153137)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$79.43	$85.86	+$6.43	74% 105128-37103 (142231)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100	Upavg 86.5¢	$71.62	$60	-$11.62	54% 16612-14048 (30660)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 87¢	$55.09	$57.45	+$2.36	49% 4223-4318 (8541)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 21.5¢	$49.72	—	-$49.72	48% 6714-7364 (14078)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100	Upavg 65¢	$45.51	$70	+$24.49	52% 10594-9935 (20529)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 88.4¢	$29.18	$33	+$3.83	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 88.8¢	$29.17	$32.84	+$3.67	61% 98731-62694 (161425)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 82¢	$16.4	$20	+$3.6	55% 51661-42835 (94496)
0X 0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100	Downavg 23.2¢	$4.52	—	-$4.52	52% 2158-1969 (4127)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 91.6¢	$4.58	$5	+$0.42	58% 63404-46606 (110010)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 91.6¢	$1.85	$2.02	+$0.17	56% 60660-47178 (107838)
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$6.28	—	-$6.28	55% 15008-12442 (27450)
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989<$100	Up	—	—	+$0	53% 8314-7279 (15593)

machinelearned

Invested

$519.02

Value

$600.95

PnL

+$81.93

Record

55%

9893-8203 (18096)

Bonereaper

Invested

$346.58

Value

$356.63

PnL

+$10.04

Record

66%

101078-52946 (154024)

bosona

Invested

$270.41

Value

$340.71

PnL

+$70.3

Record

55%

51720-42173 (93893)

1000monkeys

Invested

$207.88

Value

$250.63

PnL

+$42.75

Record

59%

11348-7797 (19145)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$210.47

Value

$258.23

PnL

+$47.75

Record

58%

39839-28824 (68663)

gansinimen

Invested

$157.99

Value

$199.99

PnL

+$42

Record

51%

17667-17069 (34736)

mo-money

Invested

$105.22

Value

$132.75

PnL

+$27.53

Record

55%

52367-42838 (95205)

blue.birds

Invested

$126.03

Value

$120

PnL

-$6.03

Record

51%

12215-11708 (23923)

13897651

Invested

$145.63

Value

$204.78

PnL

+$59.15

Record

56%

8889-6954 (15843)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$84.8

Value

$80

PnL

-$4.8

Record

12%

18943-134194 (153137)

BoneOhio<$100

Invested

$79.43

Value

$85.86

PnL

+$6.43

Record

74%

105128-37103 (142231)

dangerously-skip-permissions<$100

Invested

$71.62

Value

$60

PnL

-$11.62

Record

54%

16612-14048 (30660)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$55.09

Value

$57.45

PnL

+$2.36

Record

49%

4223-4318 (8541)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$49.72

Value

—

PnL

-$49.72

Record

48%

6714-7364 (14078)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100

Invested

$45.51

Value

$70

PnL

+$24.49

Record

52%

10594-9935 (20529)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$29.18

Value

$33

PnL

+$3.83

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$29.17

Value

$32.84

PnL

+$3.67

Record

61%

98731-62694 (161425)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$16.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$3.6

Record

55%

51661-42835 (94496)

0xdc27...afdd9aCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$4.52

Value

—

PnL

-$4.52

Record

52%

2158-1969 (4127)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$4.58

Value

PnL

+$0.42

Record

58%

63404-46606 (110010)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

$2.02

PnL

+$0.17

Record

56%

60660-47178 (107838)

GoodFallenCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$6.28

Value

—

PnL

-$6.28

Record

55%

15008-12442 (27450)

0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

8314-7279 (15593)

Smart Money Signal

20 of 23 top traders (87%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbdf5df60...86c832

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794037800

Traders in this Market

machinelearned

Up — $600.95

+$81.93

Bonereaper

Up — $356.63

+$10.04

bosona

Up — $340.71

+$70.3

1000monkeys

Up — $250.63

+$42.75

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $258.23

+$47.75

gansinimen

Up — $199.99

+$42

mo-money

Up — $132.75

+$27.53

blue.birds

Up — $120

-$6.03

13897651

Up — $204.78

+$59.15

Hsilverbasher

Up — $80

-$4.8

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