Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 72%
$4.4K
-$515.45
Smart Money Signal
21 of 31 top traders (68%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Downavg 99¢ | $891 | $900 | +$9 | 74% 105128-37103 (142231) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 59.4¢ | $770.15 | $853.5 | +$83.36 | 55% 9893-8203 (18096) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 55.5¢ | $431.05 | — | -$431.05 | 58% 39839-28824 (68663) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 78.2¢ | $453.38 | $405.35 | -$48.02 | 59% 11348-7797 (19145) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 77.9¢ | $460.03 | $392.38 | -$67.65 | 66% 101078-52946 (154024) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 82.6¢ | $369.14 | $374.39 | +$5.25 | 51% 12215-11708 (23923) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 78¢ | $288.55 | $330.37 | +$41.82 | 48% 6714-7364 (14078) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658 | Downavg 56.4¢ | $173.75 | $238.99 | +$65.24 | 52% 10594-9935 (20529) |
BO bosona | Downavg 61.8¢ | $128.14 | $204.14 | +$76 | 55% 51720-42173 (93893) |
 pspspsps5CTR | Upavg 58.5¢ | $366.37 | — | -$366.37 | 45% 40219-48185 (88404) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 64.4¢ | $138.4 | $153.21 | +$14.82 | 52% 10477-9488 (19965) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $24.08 | $80.26 | +$56.18 | 55% 50268-41869 (92137) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $21.31 | $71.03 | +$49.72 | 55% 52367-42838 (95205) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $49.45 | $60 | +$10.55 | 54% 16612-14048 (30660) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 96.9¢ | $53.32 | $55 | +$1.68 | 61% 98731-62694 (161425) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $54.39 | $55 | +$0.61 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 76.7¢ | $40.56 | $38 | -$2.56 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $16.99 | $30 | +$13.01 | 54% 13719-11714 (25433) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Downavg 46.3¢ | $16.59 | $30 | +$13.41 | 55% 15008-12442 (27450) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $23.8 | $25 | +$1.2 | 58% 63404-46606 (110010) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.9¢ | $27.31 | — | -$27.31 | 49% 81096-84540 (165636) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 97.5¢ | $24.37 | $25 | +$0.63 | 89% 29489-3558 (33047) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 98.1¢ | $24.53 | $25 | +$0.47 | 61% 46186-29359 (75545) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $13.83 | $15.42 | +$1.59 | 64% 4984-2813 (7797) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.5¢ | $10.94 | — | -$10.94 | 56% 8889-6954 (15843) |
BoneOhioInvested
$891
Value
$900
PnL
+$9
Record
74%
105128-37103 (142231)
machinelearnedInvested
$770.15
Value
$853.5
PnL
+$83.36
Record
55%
9893-8203 (18096)
Invested
$431.05
Value
—
PnL
-$431.05
Record
58%
39839-28824 (68663)
Invested
$453.38
Value
$405.35
PnL
-$48.02
Record
59%
11348-7797 (19145)
Invested
$460.03
Value
$392.38
PnL
-$67.65
Record
66%
101078-52946 (154024)
Invested
$369.14
Value
$374.39
PnL
+$5.25
Record
51%
12215-11708 (23923)
Invested
$288.55
Value
$330.37
PnL
+$41.82
Record
48%
6714-7364 (14078)
Invested
$173.75
Value
$238.99
PnL
+$65.24
Record
52%
10594-9935 (20529)
Invested
$128.14
Value
$204.14
PnL
+$76
Record
55%
51720-42173 (93893)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$366.37
Value
—
PnL
-$366.37
Record
45%
40219-48185 (88404)
Invested
$138.4
Value
$153.21
PnL
+$14.82
Record
52%
10477-9488 (19965)
Invested
$24.08
Value
$80.26
PnL
+$56.18
Record
55%
50268-41869 (92137)
Invested
$21.31
Value
$71.03
PnL
+$49.72
Record
55%
52367-42838 (95205)
Invested
$49.45
Value
$60
PnL
+$10.55
Record
54%
16612-14048 (30660)
Invested
$53.32
Value
$55
PnL
+$1.68
Record
61%
98731-62694 (161425)
Invested
$54.39
Value
$55
PnL
+$0.61
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$40.56
Value
$38
PnL
-$2.56
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$16.99
Value
$30
PnL
+$13.01
Record
54%
13719-11714 (25433)
Invested
$16.59
Value
$30
PnL
+$13.41
Record
55%
15008-12442 (27450)
Invested
$23.8
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.2
Record
58%
63404-46606 (110010)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$27.31
Value
—
PnL
-$27.31
Record
49%
81096-84540 (165636)
Invested
$24.37
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.63
Record
89%
29489-3558 (33047)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$24.53
Value
$25
PnL
+$0.47
Record
61%
46186-29359 (75545)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$13.83
Value
$15.42
PnL
+$1.59
Record
64%
4984-2813 (7797)
Invested
$10.94
Value
—
PnL
-$10.94
Record
56%
8889-6954 (15843)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
BoneOhio
Down — $900
machinelearned
Down — $853.5
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
1000monkeys
Down — $405.35
Bonereaper
Down — $392.38
blue.birds
Down — $374.39
asdcaxz
Down — $330.37
0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658
Down — $238.99
bosona
Down — $204.14
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0