Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 76% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
29
Up 75%
$4.1K
$181.7
Smart Money Signal
22 of 29 top traders (76%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 machinelearned | Upavg 79.9¢ | $772.59 | $852.6 | +$80.01 | 55% 9893-8203 (18096) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 78.3¢ | $615.89 | $597.89 | -$18 | 59% 11348-7797 (19145) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 59¢ | $307.99 | $351.87 | +$43.88 | 66% 101078-52946 (154024) |
GA gansinimen | Upavg 94¢ | $464.55 | $360.18 | -$104.38 | 51% 17667-17069 (34736) |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 84.5¢ | $272.88 | $294.2 | +$21.32 | 51% 12215-11708 (23923) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 67.6¢ | $275.26 | $407.49 | +$132.23 | 45% 40219-48185 (88404) |
 NIULAI4 | Upavg 95.5¢ | $191 | $200 | +$9 | 75% 9911-3318 (13229) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 75.5¢ | $150.23 | $160 | +$9.77 | 54% 16612-14048 (30660) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 93.3¢ | $149.21 | $152.71 | +$3.5 | 48% 6714-7364 (14078) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 73¢ | $152.73 | $209.23 | +$56.5 | 56% 60660-47178 (107838) |
PA Papeasy | Upavg 94.7¢ | $107.28 | $113.33 | +$6.05 | 49% 4223-4318 (8541) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $86.34 | $80 | -$6.34 | 12% 18943-134194 (153137) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $53.69 | $90.99 | +$37.31 | 58% 39839-28824 (68663) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $91.79 | — | -$91.79 | 55% 52367-42838 (95205) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.8¢ | $42.48 | $50.12 | +$7.64 | 65% 130448-70263 (200711) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 69.8¢ | $36.37 | $52.08 | +$15.72 | 49% 81096-84540 (165636) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 82.4¢ | $35.1 | $30 | -$5.1 | 61% 46186-29359 (75545) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 74.5¢ | $22.35 | $30 | +$7.65 | 58% 63404-46606 (110010) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $28.21 | $15.75 | -$12.46 | 52% 10477-9488 (19965) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $18.46 | $36.17 | +$17.71 | 56% 8889-6954 (15843) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $28.73 | — | -$28.73 | 55% 51720-42173 (93893) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $11 | $14.25 | +$3.25 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.7¢ | $7.12 | — | -$7.12 | 52% 21140-19314 (40454) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $2.87 | $3.57 | +$0.7 | 65% 114692-61718 (176410) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 30.4¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 52% 12378-11428 (23806) |
machinelearnedInvested
$772.59
Value
$852.6
PnL
+$80.01
Record
55%
9893-8203 (18096)
Invested
$615.89
Value
$597.89
PnL
-$18
Record
59%
11348-7797 (19145)
Invested
$307.99
Value
$351.87
PnL
+$43.88
Record
66%
101078-52946 (154024)
Invested
$464.55
Value
$360.18
PnL
-$104.38
Record
51%
17667-17069 (34736)
Invested
$272.88
Value
$294.2
PnL
+$21.32
Record
51%
12215-11708 (23923)
pspspsps5Invested
$275.26
Value
$407.49
PnL
+$132.23
Record
45%
40219-48185 (88404)
NIULAI4Invested
$191
Value
$200
PnL
+$9
Record
75%
9911-3318 (13229)
Invested
$150.23
Value
$160
PnL
+$9.77
Record
54%
16612-14048 (30660)
Invested
$149.21
Value
$152.71
PnL
+$3.5
Record
48%
6714-7364 (14078)
Invested
$152.73
Value
$209.23
PnL
+$56.5
Record
56%
60660-47178 (107838)
Invested
$107.28
Value
$113.33
PnL
+$6.05
Record
49%
4223-4318 (8541)
Invested
$86.34
Value
$80
PnL
-$6.34
Record
12%
18943-134194 (153137)
Invested
$53.69
Value
$90.99
PnL
+$37.31
Record
58%
39839-28824 (68663)
Invested
$91.79
Value
—
PnL
-$91.79
Record
55%
52367-42838 (95205)
Invested
$42.48
Value
$50.12
PnL
+$7.64
Record
65%
130448-70263 (200711)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$36.37
Value
$52.08
PnL
+$15.72
Record
49%
81096-84540 (165636)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$35.1
Value
$30
PnL
-$5.1
Record
61%
46186-29359 (75545)
Invested
$22.35
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.65
Record
58%
63404-46606 (110010)
Invested
$28.21
Value
$15.75
PnL
-$12.46
Record
52%
10477-9488 (19965)
Invested
$18.46
Value
$36.17
PnL
+$17.71
Record
56%
8889-6954 (15843)
Invested
$28.73
Value
—
PnL
-$28.73
Record
55%
51720-42173 (93893)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11
Value
$14.25
PnL
+$3.25
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100Invested
$7.12
Value
—
PnL
-$7.12
Record
52%
21140-19314 (40454)
Invested
$2.87
Value
$3.57
PnL
+$0.7
Record
65%
114692-61718 (176410)
Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
52%
12378-11428 (23806)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
machinelearned
Up — $852.6
1000monkeys
Up — $597.89
Bonereaper
Up — $351.87
gansinimen
Up — $360.18
blue.birds
Up — $294.2
pspspsps5
Up — $407.49
NIULAI4
Up — $200
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $160
asdcaxz
Up — $152.71
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $209.23