Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 53%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.8K

Combined PnL

-$887.67

Smart Money Signal

18 of 32 top traders (56%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up18 traders

Total Value$5.0K

Total Shares5,009

Combined PnL+$106.43

Down14 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,990

Combined PnL-$994.1

Up — 56%Down — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489	Upavg 49¢	$1.4K	$1.6K	+$185.6	75% 273-92 (365)
TH THG.	Upavg 99¢	$963.89	$973.63	+$9.74	56% 30404-23643 (54047)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 66.2¢	$463.84	$415.42	-$48.41	50% 6373-6381 (12754)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 65.5¢	$254.9	$378.99	+$124.09	66% 101039-52919 (153958)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 61.2¢	$390.88	$347.12	-$43.76	54% 16581-14014 (30595)
BossgirlARB<$100	Upavg 61.5¢	$348.39	$306.95	-$41.44	54% 4766-4011 (8777)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.8¢	$159.48	—	-$159.48
└ Up leg	Upavg 61.5¢	$188.91	$306.95	+$118.04
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 83.5¢	$379.54	$268.94	-$110.6	56% 15960-12579 (28539)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 66.5¢	$331.28	$264.88	-$66.4	59% 11299-7760 (19059)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Upavg 55¢	$226.5	$206.36	-$20.14	48% 6593-7284 (13877)
└ Up leg	Upavg 55¢	$113.42	$206.36	+$92.94
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.2¢	$113.09	—	-$113.09
BL blue.birds	Upavg 69¢	$212.99	$199.99	-$13	51% 12116-11612 (23728)
pspspsps5CTR	Downavg 53¢	$389.56	—	-$389.56	45% 40136-48079 (88215)
ST stepaheadARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$180.79	$72	-$108.79	54% 10144-8498 (18642)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$130.27	—	-$130.27
└ Up leg	Upavg 70.2¢	$50.52	$72	+$21.48
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 57.1¢	$150.66	$143.54	-$7.12	55% 14965-12421 (27386)
machinelearnedCTR	Downavg 17.3¢	$198.41	—	-$198.41	55% 9859-8170 (18029)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658ARB<$100	Upavg 54.3¢	$129.63	$167	+$37.37	52% 10562-9905 (20467)
└ Up leg	Upavg 54.3¢	$90.63	$167	+$76.37
└ Down leg	Downavg 39¢	$39	—	-$39
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 82.7¢	$100.48	$121.44	+$20.96	57% 9930-7432 (17362)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 95.4¢	$58.75	$61.6	+$2.86	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99.1¢	$57.46	$58	+$0.54	61% 98632-62636 (161268)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 64.4¢	$44.82	$69.56	+$24.74	65% 130321-70183 (200504)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 64¢	$43.72	$68.32	+$24.59	12% 18918-134175 (153093)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 51.1¢	$61.03	—	-$61.03	58% 63329-46540 (109869)
PA PapeasyCTR<$100	Downavg 58¢	$43.5	—	-$43.5	49% 4190-4292 (8482)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100	Downavg 40.2¢	$62.02	—	-$62.02	52% 10448-9456 (19904)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 45.9¢	$41.88	—	-$41.88	61% 46115-29290 (75405)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$37.57	—	-$37.57	52% 21114-19277 (40391)

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Invested

$1,414.38

Value

$1.6K

PnL

+$185.6

Record

75%

273-92 (365)

THG.

Invested

$963.89

Value

$973.63

PnL

+$9.74

Record

56%

30404-23643 (54047)

ply-pm0

Invested

$463.84

Value

$415.42

PnL

-$48.41

Record

50%

6373-6381 (12754)

Bonereaper

Invested

$254.9

Value

$378.99

PnL

+$124.09

Record

66%

101039-52919 (153958)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$390.88

Value

$347.12

PnL

-$43.76

Record

54%

16581-14014 (30595)

BossgirlARB<$100

Invested

$348.39

Value

$306.95

PnL

-$41.44

Record

54%

4766-4011 (8777)

Both legs:

Down$159.4850.8¢-$159.48

Up$188.9161.5¢+$118.04

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$379.54

Value

$268.94

PnL

-$110.6

Record

56%

15960-12579 (28539)

1000monkeys

Invested

$331.28

Value

$264.88

PnL

-$66.4

Record

59%

11299-7760 (19059)

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$226.5

Value

$206.36

PnL

-$20.14

Record

48%

6593-7284 (13877)

Both legs:

Up$113.4255¢+$92.94

Down$113.0942.2¢-$113.09

blue.birds

Invested

$212.99

Value

$199.99

PnL

-$13

Record

51%

12116-11612 (23728)

pspspsps5CTR

Down

Invested

$389.56

Value

—

PnL

-$389.56

Record

45%

40136-48079 (88215)

stepaheadARB<$100

Down

Invested

$180.79

Value

$72

PnL

-$108.79

Record

54%

10144-8498 (18642)

Both legs:

Down$130.2749.9¢-$130.27

Up$50.5270.2¢+$21.48

GoodFallen

Invested

$150.66

Value

$143.54

PnL

-$7.12

Record

55%

14965-12421 (27386)

machinelearnedCTR

Down

Invested

$198.41

Value

—

PnL

-$198.41

Record

55%

9859-8170 (18029)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658ARB<$100

Invested

$129.63

Value

$167

PnL

+$37.37

Record

52%

10562-9905 (20467)

Both legs:

Up$90.6354.3¢+$76.37

Down$3939¢-$39

wzbbb

Invested

$100.48

Value

$121.44

PnL

+$20.96

Record

57%

9930-7432 (17362)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$58.75

Value

$61.6

PnL

+$2.86

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$57.46

Value

$58

PnL

+$0.54

Record

61%

98632-62636 (161268)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$44.82

Value

$69.56

PnL

+$24.74

Record

65%

130321-70183 (200504)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$43.72

Value

$68.32

PnL

+$24.59

Record

12%

18918-134175 (153093)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$61.03

Value

—

PnL

-$61.03

Record

58%

63329-46540 (109869)

PapeasyCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$43.5

Value

—

PnL

-$43.5

Record

49%

4190-4292 (8482)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$62.02

Value

—

PnL

-$62.02

Record

52%

10448-9456 (19904)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$41.88

Value

—

PnL

-$41.88

Record

61%

46115-29290 (75405)

x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$37.57

Value

—

PnL

-$37.57

Record

52%

21114-19277 (40391)

Smart Money Signal

18 of 32 top traders (56%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed14 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbc5ff4b7...185269

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794017100

Traders in this Market

0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489

Up — $1.6K

+$185.6

THG.

Up — $973.63

+$9.74

ply-pm0

Up — $415.42

-$48.41

Bonereaper

Up — $378.99

+$124.09

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $347.12

-$43.76

Bossgirl

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$41.44

CrouchPredictions

Up — $268.94

-$110.6

1000monkeys

Up — $264.88

-$66.4

asdcaxz

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$20.14

blue.birds

Up — $199.99

-$13

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