Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
35
Up 88%
3 arb excluded
$8.3K
$166.39
Smart Money Signal
31 of 35 top traders (89%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%20 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 72.5¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$79.51 | 56% 15898-12511 (28409) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 71.6¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | -$11.95 | 50% 6373-6381 (12754) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 79.7¢ | $434.85 | $492.12 | +$57.27 | 46% 40118-48047 (88165) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 87.7¢ | $481.8 | $477.53 | -$4.27 | 47% 6557-7261 (13818) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 78.7¢ | $414.9 | $396.1 | -$18.79 | 54% 16571-14006 (30577) |
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $384.95 | $388.84 | +$3.89 | 56% 30404-23643 (54047) |
10 1000monkeysARB<$100 | Upavg 56.2¢ | $361.09 | $335.96 | -$25.13 | 59% 11289-7746 (19035) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 56.2¢ | $188.92 | $335.96 | +$147.04 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.5¢ | $172.17 | — | -$172.17 | |
BL blue.birds | Upavg 87.1¢ | $322.44 | $321.24 | -$1.19 | 51% 12098-11574 (23672) |
BO Bonereaper | Upavg 74.4¢ | $257.74 | $287.71 | +$29.97 | 66% 101027-52913 (153940) |
ST stepahead | Upavg 57.8¢ | $203.1 | $192 | -$11.1 | 54% 10136-8487 (18623) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 78¢ | $254.99 | $200 | -$54.99 | 55% 14950-12418 (27368) |
 machinelearnedARB<$100 | Upavg 63.7¢ | $142.32 | $132.54 | -$9.78 | 55% 9852-8159 (18011) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 63.7¢ | $84.43 | $132.54 | +$48.11 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 25.5¢ | $57.89 | — | -$57.89 | |
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 58¢ | $108 | $160 | +$52 | 12% 18915-134167 (153082) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Upavg 86¢ | $133.99 | $119.99 | -$14 | 52% 21108-19265 (40373) |
 Bossgirl | Upavg 90.6¢ | $121.44 | $134 | +$12.56 | 54% 4760-4011 (8771) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 51.8¢ | $90.65 | $175 | +$84.35 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025 | Upavg 86.4¢ | $114.71 | $120 | +$5.29 | 58% 63311-46525 (109836) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 78.5¢ | $67.56 | $86.02 | +$18.46 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 77.2¢ | $64 | $75 | +$11 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $66.92 | $79.23 | +$12.31 | 61% 98614-62609 (161223) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99.1¢ | $74.3 | $75 | +$0.7 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $59.52 | $62 | +$2.48 | 55% 52350-42822 (95172) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $59.52 | $62 | +$2.48 | 55% 51695-42149 (93844) |
AL almach<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $59.52 | $62 | +$2.48 | 55% 50160-41769 (91929) |
AN antsaslykuARB<$100 | Upavg 91.1¢ | $51.59 | $31.31 | -$20.28 | 65% 114590-61630 (176220) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 91.1¢ | $28.51 | $31.31 | +$2.8 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 12¢ | $23.08 | — | -$23.08 |
Invested
$2,166.04
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$79.51
Record
56%
15898-12511 (28409)
Invested
$1,400.63
Value
$1.4K
PnL
-$11.95
Record
50%
6373-6381 (12754)
pspspsps5Invested
$434.85
Value
$492.12
PnL
+$57.27
Record
46%
40118-48047 (88165)
Invested
$481.8
Value
$477.53
PnL
-$4.27
Record
47%
6557-7261 (13818)
Invested
$414.9
Value
$396.1
PnL
-$18.79
Record
54%
16571-14006 (30577)
Invested
$384.95
Value
$388.84
PnL
+$3.89
Record
56%
30404-23643 (54047)
Invested
$361.09
Value
$335.96
PnL
-$25.13
Record
59%
11289-7746 (19035)
Both legs:
Invested
$322.44
Value
$321.24
PnL
-$1.19
Record
51%
12098-11574 (23672)
Invested
$257.74
Value
$287.71
PnL
+$29.97
Record
66%
101027-52913 (153940)
Invested
$203.1
Value
$192
PnL
-$11.1
Record
54%
10136-8487 (18623)
Invested
$254.99
Value
$200
PnL
-$54.99
Record
55%
14950-12418 (27368)
machinelearnedARB<$100Invested
$142.32
Value
$132.54
PnL
-$9.78
Record
55%
9852-8159 (18011)
Both legs:
Invested
$108
Value
$160
PnL
+$52
Record
12%
18915-134167 (153082)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$133.99
Value
$119.99
PnL
-$14
Record
52%
21108-19265 (40373)
BossgirlInvested
$121.44
Value
$134
PnL
+$12.56
Record
54%
4760-4011 (8771)
Invested
$90.65
Value
$175
PnL
+$84.35
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
Invested
$114.71
Value
$120
PnL
+$5.29
Record
58%
63311-46525 (109836)
Invested
$67.56
Value
$86.02
PnL
+$18.46
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$64
Value
$75
PnL
+$11
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
Invested
$66.92
Value
$79.23
PnL
+$12.31
Record
61%
98614-62609 (161223)
Invested
$74.3
Value
$75
PnL
+$0.7
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
Invested
$59.52
Value
$62
PnL
+$2.48
Record
55%
52350-42822 (95172)
Invested
$59.52
Value
$62
PnL
+$2.48
Record
55%
51695-42149 (93844)
Invested
$59.52
Value
$62
PnL
+$2.48
Record
55%
50160-41769 (91929)
Invested
$51.59
Value
$31.31
PnL
-$20.28
Record
65%
114590-61630 (176220)
Both legs:
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $2.2K
ply-pm0
Up — $1.4K
pspspsps5
Up — $492.12
asdcaxz
Up — $477.53
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $396.1
THG.
Up — $388.84
1000monkeys
ARBArbitrage — excluded
blue.birds
Up — $321.24
Bonereaper
Up — $287.71
stepahead
Up — $192