Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 84% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 86%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.3K

Combined PnL

-$22.01

Smart Money Signal

32 of 38 top traders (84%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up32 traders

Total Value$5.2K

Total Shares5,242

Combined PnL+$64.9

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares347

Combined PnL-$86.91

Up — 84%Down — 16%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
cryingbabydicer87	Upavg 99¢	$928.09	$937.46	+$9.37	48% 10624-11292 (21916)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 82.5¢	$483.02	$477.32	-$5.7	56% 15960-12579 (28539)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 85¢	$453.04	$472.43	+$19.39	50% 6373-6381 (12754)
pspspsps5	Upavg 99¢	$445.46	$393.36	-$52.1	45% 40136-48079 (88215)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 84.4¢	$365.16	$360.29	-$4.87	51% 12116-11612 (23728)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 80.6¢	$320.58	$325.6	+$5.02	54% 16581-14014 (30595)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 79.6¢	$305.59	$318.55	+$12.96	59% 11299-7760 (19059)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 82.7¢	$267.03	$269.1	+$2.07	66% 101039-52919 (153958)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 84.9¢	$263.21	$263.84	+$0.63	48% 6593-7284 (13877)
Bossgirl	Upavg 82.8¢	$172.32	$198	+$25.68	54% 4766-4011 (8777)
MO mo-money	Upavg 90.4¢	$133.17	$124	-$9.17	55% 52363-42830 (95193)
BO bosona	Upavg 91.4¢	$125.5	$114.26	-$11.24	55% 51712-42162 (93874)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$107.91	$108.01	+$0.1	59% 63904-45042 (108946)
AL almach	Upavg 92.1¢	$119.09	$106.44	-$12.65	55% 50161-41770 (91931)
machinelearnedARB<$100	Upavg 86.3¢	$132.22	$82.1	-$50.12	55% 9859-8170 (18029)
└ Up leg	Upavg 86.3¢	$70.82	$82.1	+$11.28
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.5¢	$61.4	—	-$61.4
ST stepahead<$100	Upavg 80.9¢	$85.58	$96	+$10.42	54% 10144-8498 (18642)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 87¢	$78.74	$74.99	-$3.75	49% 4190-4292 (8482)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$69.05	$88.33	+$19.28	57% 9930-7432 (17362)
GO GoodFallen<$100	Upavg 82.8¢	$91.65	$60	-$31.65	55% 14965-12421 (27386)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$59.4	$60	+$0.6	89% 29392-3557 (32949)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 93.4¢	$46.68	$50	+$3.32	55% 51661-42834 (94495)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 53.7¢	$28.44	$50	+$21.56	52% 12342-11390 (23732)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100	Downavg 18¢	$49.5	—	-$49.5	52% 21114-19277 (40391)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 92¢	$35.06	$38.1	+$3.04	61% 98632-62636 (161268)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 51.7¢	$26.71	$51.62	+$24.91	56% 8820-6894 (15714)

cryingbabydicer87

Invested

$928.09

Value

$937.46

PnL

+$9.37

Record

48%

10624-11292 (21916)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$483.02

Value

$477.32

PnL

-$5.7

Record

56%

15960-12579 (28539)

ply-pm0

Invested

$453.04

Value

$472.43

PnL

+$19.39

Record

50%

6373-6381 (12754)

pspspsps5

Invested

$445.46

Value

$393.36

PnL

-$52.1

Record

45%

40136-48079 (88215)

blue.birds

Invested

$365.16

Value

$360.29

PnL

-$4.87

Record

51%

12116-11612 (23728)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$320.58

Value

$325.6

PnL

+$5.02

Record

54%

16581-14014 (30595)

1000monkeys

Invested

$305.59

Value

$318.55

PnL

+$12.96

Record

59%

11299-7760 (19059)

Bonereaper

Invested

$267.03

Value

$269.1

PnL

+$2.07

Record

66%

101039-52919 (153958)

asdcaxz

Invested

$263.21

Value

$263.84

PnL

+$0.63

Record

48%

6593-7284 (13877)

Bossgirl

Invested

$172.32

Value

$198

PnL

+$25.68

Record

54%

4766-4011 (8777)

mo-money

Invested

$133.17

Value

$124

PnL

-$9.17

Record

55%

52363-42830 (95193)

bosona

Invested

$125.5

Value

$114.26

PnL

-$11.24

Record

55%

51712-42162 (93874)

0x50f7

Invested

$107.91

Value

$108.01

PnL

+$0.1

Record

59%

63904-45042 (108946)

almach

Invested

$119.09

Value

$106.44

PnL

-$12.65

Record

55%

50161-41770 (91931)

machinelearnedARB<$100

Invested

$132.22

Value

$82.1

PnL

-$50.12

Record

55%

9859-8170 (18029)

Both legs:

Up$70.8286.3¢+$11.28

Down$61.420.5¢-$61.4

stepahead<$100

Invested

$85.58

Value

$96

PnL

+$10.42

Record

54%

10144-8498 (18642)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$78.74

Value

$74.99

PnL

-$3.75

Record

49%

4190-4292 (8482)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$69.05

Value

$88.33

PnL

+$19.28

Record

57%

9930-7432 (17362)

GoodFallen<$100

Invested

$91.65

Value

$60

PnL

-$31.65

Record

55%

14965-12421 (27386)

hoodquant<$100

Invested

$59.4

Value

$60

PnL

+$0.6

Record

89%

29392-3557 (32949)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$46.68

Value

$50

PnL

+$3.32

Record

55%

51661-42834 (94495)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$28.44

Value

$50

PnL

+$21.56

Record

52%

12342-11390 (23732)

x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100

Down

Invested

$49.5

Value

—

PnL

-$49.5

Record

52%

21114-19277 (40391)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$35.06

Value

$38.1

PnL

+$3.04

Record

61%

98632-62636 (161268)

13897651<$100

Invested

$26.71

Value

$51.62

PnL

+$24.91

Record

56%

8820-6894 (15714)

Smart Money Signal

32 of 38 top traders (84%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%24 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x414df224...78e4ca

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794016800

Traders in this Market

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $937.46

+$9.37

CrouchPredictions

Up — $477.32

-$5.7

ply-pm0

Up — $472.43

+$19.39

pspspsps5

Up — $393.36

-$52.1

blue.birds

Up — $360.29

-$4.87

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $325.6

+$5.02

1000monkeys

Up — $318.55

+$12.96

Bonereaper

Up — $269.1

+$2.07

asdcaxz

Up — $263.84

+$0.63

Bossgirl

Up — $198

+$25.68

Trade on Polymarket