Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 64%

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

-$25.91

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 27 top traders (59%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down16 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares2,491

Combined PnL+$129.59

Up11 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares640

Combined PnL-$155.5

Down — 59%Up — 41%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 84.4¢	$404.35	$399.13	-$5.22	47% 6494-7195 (13689)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 92.4¢	$421.43	$377.95	-$43.48	56% 15897-12509 (28406)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 83.8¢	$305.55	$308	+$2.45	50% 6263-6235 (12498)
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 76.3¢	$275.64	$214.49	-$61.15	66% 101009-52902 (153911)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 69.2¢	$169.87	$193.4	+$23.52	54% 16556-13980 (30536)
AL almach	Downavg 82¢	$131.75	$158.62	+$26.87	55% 50160-41768 (91928)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335	Downavg 55.6¢	$136.58	$211.9	+$75.32	53% 10420-9427 (19847)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Downavg 75.1¢	$120.87	$161.04	+$40.17	52% 10531-9879 (20410)
BO bosona	Downavg 72¢	$78.23	$101.71	+$23.48	55% 51681-42136 (93817)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 80¢	$100.41	$95	+$89.59	55% 14924-12403 (27327)
10 1000monkeys<$100	Downavg 79.9¢	$88.41	$66.63	-$21.78	59% 11259-7721 (18980)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 68¢	$83.54	$64.39	-$19.15	45% 40054-47988 (88042)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 83¢	$73.75	$50	-$23.75	51% 12042-11506 (23548)
ST stepaheadCTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$65.56	—	-$65.56	54% 10134-8485 (18619)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 32.5¢	$32.5	—	-$32.5	63% 42413-25111 (67524)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 67.5¢	$41.71	$61.75	+$20.05	56% 8764-6844 (15608)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 17.3¢	$29.39	—	-$29.39	65% 114545-61579 (176124)
x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100	Upavg 29.3¢	$15.2	—	-$15.2	52% 21086-19246 (40332)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 90.6¢	$12.51	$13.8	+$1.29	56% 60501-47058 (107559)
machinelearned<$100	Downavg 89.7¢	$11.93	$13.3	+$1.37	55% 9821-8147 (17968)
PA PapeasyCTR<$100	Upavg 31¢	$3.79	—	-$3.79	49% 4160-4265 (8425)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 7.4¢	$4.34	—	-$4.34	49% 80931-84364 (165295)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 7.5¢	$1.86	—	-$1.86	61% 46056-29221 (75277)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$0.48	—	-$0.48	59% 63885-45013 (108898)
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100	Upavg 3¢	$2.39	—	-$2.39	55% 52205-42637 (94842)

asdcaxz

Down

Invested

$404.35

Value

$399.13

PnL

-$5.22

Record

47%

6494-7195 (13689)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$421.43

Value

$377.95

PnL

-$43.48

Record

56%

15897-12509 (28406)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$305.55

Value

$308

PnL

+$2.45

Record

50%

6263-6235 (12498)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$275.64

Value

$214.49

PnL

-$61.15

Record

66%

101009-52902 (153911)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$169.87

Value

$193.4

PnL

+$23.52

Record

54%

16556-13980 (30536)

almach

Down

Invested

$131.75

Value

$158.62

PnL

+$26.87

Record

55%

50160-41768 (91928)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Down

Invested

$136.58

Value

$211.9

PnL

+$75.32

Record

53%

10420-9427 (19847)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Down

Invested

$120.87

Value

$161.04

PnL

+$40.17

Record

52%

10531-9879 (20410)

bosona

Down

Invested

$78.23

Value

$101.71

PnL

+$23.48

Record

55%

51681-42136 (93817)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$100.41

Value

$95

PnL

+$89.59

Record

55%

14924-12403 (27327)

1000monkeys<$100

Down

Invested

$88.41

Value

$66.63

PnL

-$21.78

Record

59%

11259-7721 (18980)

pspspsps5<$100

Down

Invested

$83.54

Value

$64.39

PnL

-$19.15

Record

45%

40054-47988 (88042)

blue.birds<$100

Down

Invested

$73.75

Value

$50

PnL

-$23.75

Record

51%

12042-11506 (23548)

stepaheadCTR<$100

Invested

$65.56

Value

—

PnL

-$65.56

Record

54%

10134-8485 (18619)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$32.5

Value

—

PnL

-$32.5

Record

63%

42413-25111 (67524)

13897651<$100

Down

Invested

$41.71

Value

$61.75

PnL

+$20.05

Record

56%

8764-6844 (15608)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$29.39

Value

—

PnL

-$29.39

Record

65%

114545-61579 (176124)

x-MoneyForWhiskasCTR<$100

Invested

$15.2

Value

—

PnL

-$15.2

Record

52%

21086-19246 (40332)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Down

Invested

$12.51

Value

$13.8

PnL

+$1.29

Record

56%

60501-47058 (107559)

machinelearned<$100

Down

Invested

$11.93

Value

$13.3

PnL

+$1.37

Record

55%

9821-8147 (17968)

PapeasyCTR<$100

Invested

$3.79

Value

—

PnL

-$3.79

Record

49%

4160-4265 (8425)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.34

Value

—

PnL

-$4.34

Record

49%

80931-84364 (165295)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.86

Value

—

PnL

-$1.86

Record

61%

46056-29221 (75277)

0x50f7CTR<$100

Invested

$0.48

Value

—

PnL

-$0.48

Record

59%

63885-45013 (108898)

mo-moneyCTR<$100

Invested

$2.39

Value

—

PnL

-$2.39

Record

55%

52205-42637 (94842)

Smart Money Signal

Down

16 of 27 top traders (59%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x70492453...5f028d

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794003600

Traders in this Market

asdcaxz

Down — $399.13

-$5.22

CrouchPredictions

Down — $377.95

-$43.48

ply-pm0

Down — $308

+$2.45

Bonereaper

Down — $214.49

-$61.15

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $193.4

+$23.52

almach

Down — $158.62

+$26.87

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335

Down — $211.9

+$75.32

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Down — $161.04

+$40.17

bosona

Down — $101.71

+$23.48

GoodFallen

Down — $95

+$89.59

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