Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 68%
$2.1K
-$286.51
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
95 0x954b...c0e0 | Downavg 84.8¢ | $540.99 | $637.61 | +$96.62 | — |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 87.8¢ | $508.29 | $489.66 | -$18.63 | 56% 16023-12652 (28675) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $409.93 | $414.07 | +$4.14 | 89% 29663-3561 (33224) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 65.9¢ | $191.66 | $178.08 | -$13.58 | 59% 11420-7847 (19267) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 71.7¢ | $86.95 | $110.12 | +$23.17 | 48% 6887-7490 (14377) |
 ohioism | Downavg 97.5¢ | $157.9 | $105 | -$52.9 | 63% 42627-25355 (67982) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 42.9¢ | $36.44 | — | -$36.44 | 67% 22516-10876 (33392) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.9¢ | $80.03 | — | -$80.03 | 61% 46285-29472 (75757) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 71.4¢ | $44.73 | $34.32 | -$10.42 | 51% 12360-11859 (24219) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $50.79 | $61.88 | +$11.09 | 59% 6954-4900 (11854) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 82.9¢ | $19.8 | $23.87 | +$4.07 | 66% 130972-67764 (198736) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 87.7¢ | $24.19 | $16.25 | -$7.94 | 58% 63507-46701 (110208) |
BY ByteBadger93<$100 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $15.27 | $18.83 | +$3.56 | 55% 1746-1424 (3170) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $7.76 | $8.17 | +$0.41 | 61% 98877-62775 (161652) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $4.31 | $5.31 | +$1 | 64% 5030-2825 (7855) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.8¢ | $28.69 | — | -$28.69 | 58% 3248-2345 (5593) |
HC HcrystallashCTR<$100 | Upavg 34.9¢ | $85.1 | — | -$85.1 | 30% 12269-28216 (40485) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.4¢ | $69.98 | — | -$69.98 | 56% 60779-47271 (108050) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $26.86 | — | -$26.86 | 55% 50273-41876 (92149) |
Invested
$540.99
Value
$637.61
PnL
+$96.62
Record
—
Invested
$508.29
Value
$489.66
PnL
-$18.63
Record
56%
16023-12652 (28675)
Invested
$409.93
Value
$414.07
PnL
+$4.14
Record
89%
29663-3561 (33224)
Invested
$191.66
Value
$178.08
PnL
-$13.58
Record
59%
11420-7847 (19267)
Invested
$86.95
Value
$110.12
PnL
+$23.17
Record
48%
6887-7490 (14377)
ohioismInvested
$157.9
Value
$105
PnL
-$52.9
Record
63%
42627-25355 (67982)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$36.44
Value
—
PnL
-$36.44
Record
67%
22516-10876 (33392)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$80.03
Value
—
PnL
-$80.03
Record
61%
46285-29472 (75757)
Invested
$44.73
Value
$34.32
PnL
-$10.42
Record
51%
12360-11859 (24219)
Invested
$50.79
Value
$61.88
PnL
+$11.09
Record
59%
6954-4900 (11854)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$23.87
PnL
+$4.07
Record
66%
130972-67764 (198736)
Invested
$24.19
Value
$16.25
PnL
-$7.94
Record
58%
63507-46701 (110208)
Invested
$15.27
Value
$18.83
PnL
+$3.56
Record
55%
1746-1424 (3170)
Invested
$7.76
Value
$8.17
PnL
+$0.41
Record
61%
98877-62775 (161652)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.31
Value
$5.31
PnL
+$1
Record
64%
5030-2825 (7855)
Invested
$28.69
Value
—
PnL
-$28.69
Record
58%
3248-2345 (5593)
Invested
$85.1
Value
—
PnL
-$85.1
Record
30%
12269-28216 (40485)
Invested
$69.98
Value
—
PnL
-$69.98
Record
56%
60779-47271 (108050)
Invested
$26.86
Value
—
PnL
-$26.86
Record
55%
50273-41876 (92149)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x954b...c0e0
Down — $637.61
CrouchPredictions
Down — $489.66
hoodquant
Down — $414.07
1000monkeys
Down — $178.08
asdcaxz
Down — $110.12
ohioism
Down — $105
wowitsamazing
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
Down — $34.32
ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Down — $61.88