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PolyConsensus
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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 8

Up50¢Down50¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up50%
Down51%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance52.2%

49.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.7¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$91.39
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
191.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x74925940...8e996f
Slug
btc-updown-15m-1794105000

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